Representative Vicki Truitt is in a bad way. Truitt-friendly Tim Madigan of the Fort Worth Star-Telegram characterized Truitt’s win in 2010 as a “romp”. A well-funded Truitt beat a virtually unfunded field by 4 points. This spin betrays Truitt’s weakness.
In reality, Truitt was weak in 2010, as she is now. Her constituents were alerted to her voting record in 2009, specifically how she tried to raise gas taxes. The exposure cost Truitt, who despite outspending her opponents 10 to 1, only avoided a runoff by the skin of her teeth. For perspective, the average margin of victory for challenged Republicans was 20 points. Truitt’s margin of victory was the smallest in the party.
The situation is worse for Truitt in 2012 as her rematch is outing the baggage she acquired as one of Joe Straus’ lieutenants during the 2011 session. Adding to her resume of “falling on her sword” to increase taxes, Truitt decreased government transparency in 2011.
There is another bad omen for Truitt. None of the other Republicans who won by less than 10% in 2008 or 2010 – and there were only a handful that weak – will be in the 83rd Legislature.